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Predicting the Next President

Allan J. Lichtman

In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!

GenresPolitical ScienceAmerican GovernmentExecutive BranchPolitical ProcessCampaigns & Elections

246 pages, 10 editions

English edition · First published 2011 by Bloomsbury USA · ISBN 9798216332930

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Editions

10 editions

English

  • Predicting the Next President · Bloomsbury USA · 2024 · ISBN 9798216332930 This page
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield Publishers · 2024 · ISBN 9798881800727
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield Publishers · 2024 · ISBN 9798881800710
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman and Littlefield · 2020 · ISBN 9781538148662
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield · 2020 · ISBN 9781538148655
  • Predicting the Next President · Bloomsbury USA · 2020 · ISBN 9798881854058
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield · 2016 · ISBN 9781442269217
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield · 2016 · ISBN 9781442269200
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield · 2012 · ISBN 9781442212114
  • Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House · Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Incorporated · 2011 · ISBN 9781280659805

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